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Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Airlines Accident Rating


NORTH AMERICA

Airline
Million
Flights
Fatal
Events
Adj. Fatal
Events
Last
Fatal
Accident
Above / Below Average
Accident
Rate
Air Canada
4.84
0
0
(1983)
+154%
AirTran Airways(ValuJet)
2.09
1
1.00
1996
-33%
Alaska Airines/ Horizon
6.33
1
1.00
2000
+101%
American Airlines
20.20
6
4.04
2001
+238%
American Eagle / Executive
12.84
4
3.72
1994
+36%
Comair
5.54
3
3.00
2006
-124%
Continental AL/Cont. Exp.
14.38
4
2.34
2009
+223%
Delta Airlines
19.89
3
0.94
1996
+538%
Hawaiian Airlines
1.67
0
0
None
+53%
JetBlue
1.14
0
0
None
+36%
Midwest Express Airlines
0.80
1
1.00
1985
-75%
Southwest Airlines
17.87
0
0
None
+568%
United Airlines
16.70
6
3.42
2001
+189%
United Express
12.07
3
2.67
1996
+116%
US Airways
15.73
5
2.52
1994
+248%
USAir Shuttle
0.87
0
0
None
+28%
WestJet
1.00
0
0
None
+32%
EUROPE

Airline
Million
Flights
Fatal
Events
Adj. Fatal
Events
Last
Fatal
Accident
Above / Below Average
Accident
Rate
Aer Lingus
1.47
0
0
1968
+47%
Aeroflot Russian Airlines
2.15
2
2.00
2008
-132%
Air Europa
0.77
0
0
None
+25%
Air France
7.05
5
3.03
2009
-79%
Alitalia-Compagnia Aerea
4.33
1
1.00
1990
+38%
Austrian Airlines
1.15
0
0
(1960)
+36%
British Airways
6.33
0
0
(1976)
+201%
British Midland
2.12
1
0.40
(1989)
+27%
EasyJet
1.94
0
0
None
+62%
Finnair
2.31
0
0
(1963)
+73%
Iberia
4.50
1
1.00
(1985)
+43%
Icelandair
0.62
0
0
(1951)
+20%
JAT Yugoslavian Airways
0.61
0
0
(1973)
+19%
KLM Royal Duch Airlines
3.25
1
0.09
1994
+94%
Lufthansa Airlines
9.17
2
0.23
1993
+268%
Malev- Hungarian Airlines
0.75
0
0
(1977)
+24%
RyanAir
2.38
0
0
None
+76%
SAS Scandinavian Airlines
6.80
1
1.00
(2001)
+116%
TAP Air Portugal
1.30
0
0
(1977)
+41%
Transaero airlines
0.17
0
0
None
+7%
Turkish Airlines
2.18
3
1.75
(2009)
-106%
Virgin Atlantic Airlilnes
0.27
0
0
None
+9%
ASIA - AUSTRALIA

Airline
Million
Flights
Fatal
Events
Adj. Fatal
Event
Last
Fatal
Accident
Above / Below Average
Accident
Rate
Air China
3.25
1
0.77
(2002)
+26%
Air India
0.57
1
1.00
1985
-82%
Air New Zealand
1.53
0
0
(1979)
+48%
All Nippon Airways
4.75
0
0
(1971)
+151%
Asiana Airlines
1.62
1
0.62
1993
-11%
Cathy Pacific Airways
1.18
0
0
(1972)
+38%
China Airlines
0.91
6
4.98
2002
-469%
China Eastern
2.95
4
1.88
2004
-94%
China Southern
4.01
2
1.51
1997
-23%
Dragon Air
0.36
0
0
None
+11%
Garuda Airlines
2.00
4
1.65
2007
-102%
Hainin Airlines
1.40
0
0
None
44%
Indian Airlines
2.28
5
3.06
1999
-234%
Japan Air Lines
3.15
1
1.00
1985
0%
Korean Airlines
2.71
1
0.91
1997
-5%
Pakistan Airlines
1.43
5
4.18
2006
-373%
Philippine Air Lines
1.18
6
2.09
1994
-171%
Qantas Airways
2.63
0
0
(1951)
+84%
Singapore Airlines/Silk Air
1.55
2
1.5
2000
-101%
Thai Airways
1.98
4
3.69
1998
-306%
Virgin Blue
0.87
0
0
None
+28%
SOUTH/CENTRAL AMERICA - MEXICO-CARIBBEAN

Airline
Million
Flights
Fatal
Events
Adj. Fatal
Event
Last
Fatal
Accident
Above / Below Average
Accident
Rate
Aerolíneas Argentinas
1.30
0
0
(1970)
+41%
Aeromexico
2.50
1
1.00
1986
-21%
Air Jamaica
0.44
0
0
None
14%
Avianca
1.47
3
2.43
1990
-196%
Cubana Airlines
0.32
8
5.23
1999
-513%
GOL / Avianca
3.87
3
2.20
2006
-97%
LAN Chile S.A.
0.61
1
0.31
1991
-12%
Mexicana de Aviacion
2.40
1
1.00
1986
-24%
TACA International Airlines
0.49
2
0.26
2008
-10%
TAM
2.32
4
2.06
2007
-132%
AFRICA - MIDDLE EAST

Airline
Million
Flights
Fatal
Events
Adj. Fatal
Event
Last
Fatal
Accident
Above / Below Average
Accident
Rate
Air Zimbabwe
0.21
0
0
(1979)
-7%
EgyptAir
1.07
4
2.66
2002
-232%
El Al
0.41
0
0
(1955)
+13%
Emirates Airline
0.88
0
0
None
+28%
Iran Air
0.93
5
3.42
2000
-312%
Kenya Airways
0.45
2
1.94
2000
-180%
Kuwait Airways
0.38
1
0.02
1988
+10%
Oman Aviation
0.21
0
0
None
+7%
Royal Air Maroc
0.73
1
1.00
1994
-77%
Royal Jordanian
0.37
0
0
None
+12%
Saudi Arabian Airlines
2.46
1
1.00
1996
-22%
South African Airways
1.36
1
1.00
1987
-57%
Data for number of flights provided by OAGback Aviation Solutions

  • Statistics are based on 25 years of data, 1985 -2009

  • Million Flights - number of departures in millions.

  • Fatal Events - number of flights on which at least one passenger was killed.

  • Adjusted Fatal Event -

The Adjusted Fatal Event is calculated as follows:
The actual fatal events is adjusted downward depending on what percentage of passengers were killed in each accident. The calculation of "D" or Adjusted Fatal Events is illustrated in the following example.

An airline has 3 accidents involving fatalities:
In the first accident 120 out of 120 passengers are killed.
In the second accident 75 out of 150 passengers are killed.
In the third accident 5 out of 200 passengers are killed.

120/120 = 1
75/150 = 0.5
5/200 = 0.025

Instead of 3 actual fatal events, the Adjusted Fatal Events becomes, 1 + 0.5 + 0.025 or 1.525.

  • Last Event - the year in which the last fatal accident took place (dates in parenthesis are accidents not included in the calculations as they are older than 25 years).

  • Accident Rate - The percent above or below the average accident rate for all 87 airlines.

  • The Accident Rate is calculated as follows:
Accident Rate = ((A *(B/C))-D)

Where:
A = number of million flights completed by the airline
B = adjusted fatal events for all airlines on list
C = number of million flights for all airlines on list
D = adjusted fatal events of the airline
  • The Accident Rate is calculated for each airline and compared to the average Accident Rate of all airlines on the list. For airlines with no fatal accidents, the greater the number of departures the more favorable the accident rate becomes.

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